Use of systems analysis to develop plant disease models based on literature data: grape black-rot as a case-study

Vittorio Rossi, Tito Caffi, Giovanni Onesti, Sara E. Legler

Risultato della ricerca: Contributo in rivistaArticolo in rivistapeer review

9 Citazioni (Scopus)

Abstract

The available knowledge on black-rot of grape was retrieved from literature, analyzed, and synthesized to develop a mechanistic model of the life cycle of the pathogen (Guignardia bidwelii) based on the systems analysis. An analysis of published, quantitative information was conducted to develop a mechanistic model driven by weather and vine phenology. The model was then evaluated for its ability to represent the real system and its usefulness for understanding black-rot epidemics by using three typical epidemics. Finally, weaknesses in our knowledge are discussed.
Lingua originaleEnglish
pagine (da-a)427-444
Numero di pagine18
RivistaEuropean Journal of Plant Pathology
Volume141
DOI
Stato di pubblicazionePubblicato - 2015

Keywords

  • Epidemiology
  • Guignardia bidwelii
  • disease modelling
  • model validation

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