TY - JOUR
T1 - The resilience of drug trafficking organizations: Simulating the impact of police arresting key roles
AU - Manzi, Deborah
AU - Calderoni, Francesco
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - Purpose:
This research analyses the resistance and resilience of drug trafficking organizations against law enforcement interventions targeting specific operational roles.
Methods:
Using the MADTOR agent-based model, which draws on extensive data from a significant police operation and relevant literature, we simulate the complex dynamics of a major cocaine trafficking and dealing group. The study examined the impact of different arrest scenarios targeting traffickers, packagers, or retailers, on the organization's survival, member count, and revenue.
Results:
The findings reveal that interventions targeting traffickers lead to the most significant disruptions, while focusing on retailers also yields substantial impacts. Arresting packagers causes limited disruption.
Conclusions:
The findings underscore the importance of role-specific law enforcement approaches in dismantling drug trafficking organizations, considering each role's distinct characteristics and operational importance.
AB - Purpose:
This research analyses the resistance and resilience of drug trafficking organizations against law enforcement interventions targeting specific operational roles.
Methods:
Using the MADTOR agent-based model, which draws on extensive data from a significant police operation and relevant literature, we simulate the complex dynamics of a major cocaine trafficking and dealing group. The study examined the impact of different arrest scenarios targeting traffickers, packagers, or retailers, on the organization's survival, member count, and revenue.
Results:
The findings reveal that interventions targeting traffickers lead to the most significant disruptions, while focusing on retailers also yields substantial impacts. Arresting packagers causes limited disruption.
Conclusions:
The findings underscore the importance of role-specific law enforcement approaches in dismantling drug trafficking organizations, considering each role's distinct characteristics and operational importance.
KW - Agent-based modeling
KW - Criminal networks
KW - Disruption
KW - Drug trafficking
KW - Organized crime
KW - Resilience
KW - Agent-based modeling
KW - Criminal networks
KW - Disruption
KW - Drug trafficking
KW - Organized crime
KW - Resilience
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10807/263157
UR - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/s004723522400014x
U2 - 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102165
DO - 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102165
M3 - Article
SN - 0047-2352
VL - 91
SP - 1
EP - 13
JO - Journal of Criminal Justice
JF - Journal of Criminal Justice
ER -