The disorder problem for diffusion processes with the ε-linear and expected total miss criteria

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Abstract

We study the disorder problem for a time-homogeneous diffusion process. The aim is\r\nto determine an efficient detection strategy of the disorder time θ, at which the process\r\nchanges its drift. We focus on the ϵ-linear and the expected total miss criteria, where,\r\nunlike the well known linear penalty criterion, the expected penalty for an early/wrong\r\ndetection of θ is expressed as the frequency of false alarms launched at least ϵ units\r\nof time before θ and as the expected advance in the detection of θ, respectively. We\r\nshow that the original optimal stopping problems can be reduced to a unifying optimal\r\nstopping problem; then, we derive the associated free-boundary problem and we provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of its solution.
Lingua originaleInglese
pagine (da-a)N/A-N/A
RivistaStatistics and Probability Letters
Volume189
Numero di pubblicazioneN/A
DOI
Stato di pubblicazionePubblicato - 2022

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Statistica e Probabilità
  • Statistica, Probabilità e Incertezza

Keywords

  • Bessel process and Brownian motion
  • change-point/disorder problem
  • diffusion processes
  • epsilon-linear and expected total miss criteria
  • optimal stopping

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