The disorder problem for diffusion processes with the ε-linear and expected total miss criteria

Bruno Buonaguidi*

*Autore corrispondente per questo lavoro

Risultato della ricerca: Contributo in rivistaArticolo in rivista

Abstract

We study the disorder problem for a time-homogeneous diffusion process. The aim is to determine an efficient detection strategy of the disorder time θ, at which the process changes its drift. We focus on the ϵ-linear and the expected total miss criteria, where, unlike the well known linear penalty criterion, the expected penalty for an early/wrong detection of θ is expressed as the frequency of false alarms launched at least ϵ units of time before θ and as the expected advance in the detection of θ, respectively. We show that the original optimal stopping problems can be reduced to a unifying optimal stopping problem; then, we derive the associated free-boundary problem and we provide sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of its solution.
Lingua originaleEnglish
pagine (da-a)N/A-N/A
RivistaSTATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS
Volume189
DOI
Stato di pubblicazionePubblicato - 2022

Keywords

  • Bessel process and Brownian motion
  • change-point/disorder problem
  • diffusion processes
  • epsilon-linear and expected total miss criteria
  • optimal stopping

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