TY - JOUR
T1 - Some optimal variance stopping problems revisited with an application to the Italian Ftse-Mib stock index
AU - Buonaguidi, Bruno
AU - Mira, Antonietta
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - Optimal variance stopping (O.V.S.) problems are a new class of optimal stopping problems that differ from the classical ones because of their non linear (quadratic) dependence on the expectation operator. These problems were introduced by Pedersen (2011), who provided an effective solution method and derived the explicit solutions to the O.V.S. problem for some important examples of diffusion processes. In this article, we analyze the examples of Pedersen (2011) in light of the results in Buonaguidi (2015), where an alternative method for solving an O.V.S. problem was developed: this method is based on the solution of a constrained optimal stopping problem, whose maximization, over all the admissible constraints, returns the solution to the O.V.S. problem. Using real data on the Italian Ftse-Mib stock index, we also discuss how the solution to the O.V.S. problem for a geometric Brownian motion can be used in trading strategies.
AB - Optimal variance stopping (O.V.S.) problems are a new class of optimal stopping problems that differ from the classical ones because of their non linear (quadratic) dependence on the expectation operator. These problems were introduced by Pedersen (2011), who provided an effective solution method and derived the explicit solutions to the O.V.S. problem for some important examples of diffusion processes. In this article, we analyze the examples of Pedersen (2011) in light of the results in Buonaguidi (2015), where an alternative method for solving an O.V.S. problem was developed: this method is based on the solution of a constrained optimal stopping problem, whose maximization, over all the admissible constraints, returns the solution to the O.V.S. problem. Using real data on the Italian Ftse-Mib stock index, we also discuss how the solution to the O.V.S. problem for a geometric Brownian motion can be used in trading strategies.
KW - Diffusion processes
KW - Modeling and Simulation
KW - Statistics and Probability
KW - geometric Brownian motion
KW - optimal variance stopping problems
KW - trading strategies
KW - Diffusion processes
KW - Modeling and Simulation
KW - Statistics and Probability
KW - geometric Brownian motion
KW - optimal variance stopping problems
KW - trading strategies
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10807/133219
UR - http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/titles/07474946.asp
U2 - 10.1080/07474946.2018.1427979
DO - 10.1080/07474946.2018.1427979
M3 - Article
SN - 0747-4946
VL - 37
SP - 90
EP - 101
JO - Sequential Analysis
JF - Sequential Analysis
ER -