TY - JOUR
T1 - Equilibrium asset pricing with short rate risk
AU - Sbuelz, Alessandro
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.
AB - I study the exact percentage price reaction (in absolute value) to changes in the short rate for long-lived assets in a tractable long-run risk equilibrium model with fluctuating expected growth rates. Calibration reveals that, under time-additive expected utility, perpetuities with constant coupons exhibit a larger effective duration than the absolute value of the stock price logarithmic derivative due to a mild positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. Conversely, under Epstein-Zin preferences with unit elasticity of intertemporal substitution, the perpetuity’s effective duration is smaller due to a pronounced positive comovement between short rates and expected dividend growth. My findings suggest that strong persistence in fundamentals contributes to non-linearities in the equilibrium log prices of long-lived assets. (JEL Classification Code: G12). Keywords: equilibrium short rate, long-run risk, effective duration, stock pricing, perpetuity/consol pricing.
KW - equilibrium short rate
KW - long-run risk
KW - perpetuity/consol pricing
KW - stock pricing
KW - effective duration
KW - equilibrium short rate
KW - long-run risk
KW - perpetuity/consol pricing
KW - stock pricing
KW - effective duration
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10807/276977
UR - https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4
U2 - 10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4
DO - 10.1007/s10203-024-00442-4
M3 - Article
SN - 1593-8883
SP - N/A-N/A
JO - Decisions in Economics and Finance
JF - Decisions in Economics and Finance
ER -