TY - JOUR
T1 - Causes of fragile stock market stability
AU - Gardini, L.
AU - Radi, Davide
AU - Schmitt, N.
AU - Sushko, Iryna
AU - Westerhoff, F.
PY - 2022
Y1 - 2022
N2 - We develop a behavioral stock market model in which a market maker adjusts stock prices with respect to the orders of chartists, fundamentalists and sentiment traders. We analytically prove that the mere presence of sentiment traders, i.e. traders who optimistically buy stocks in rising markets and pessimistically sell stocks in falling markets, compromises the stability of stock markets. In particular, this means that instead of converging towards their fundamental value, stock prices either display endogenous oscillatory dynamics or converge towards nonfundamental fixed points – observations that challenge standard stability claims offered in the pertinent literature.
AB - We develop a behavioral stock market model in which a market maker adjusts stock prices with respect to the orders of chartists, fundamentalists and sentiment traders. We analytically prove that the mere presence of sentiment traders, i.e. traders who optimistically buy stocks in rising markets and pessimistically sell stocks in falling markets, compromises the stability of stock markets. In particular, this means that instead of converging towards their fundamental value, stock prices either display endogenous oscillatory dynamics or converge towards nonfundamental fixed points – observations that challenge standard stability claims offered in the pertinent literature.
KW - Boundedly rational speculators
KW - Dynamical systems
KW - Heterogeneous trading rules
KW - Stability and bifurcation analysis
KW - Stock market dynamics
KW - Boundedly rational speculators
KW - Dynamical systems
KW - Heterogeneous trading rules
KW - Stability and bifurcation analysis
KW - Stock market dynamics
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10807/232227
U2 - 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.009
DO - 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.009
M3 - Article
SN - 0167-2681
VL - 200
SP - 483
EP - 498
JO - JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION
JF - JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION
ER -