TY - JOUR
T1 - Brutality of Jihadist Terrorism. A contest theory perspective and empirical evidence in
the period 2002-2010
AU - Caruso, Raul
AU - Schneider, Friedrich
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - We interpret the emergence of Jihadist terrorism in the light of contest theory. Al Qaeda may be portrayed as a contest organizer, providing a ‘prize’ to the best terrorist group. Each group maximizes its probability of winning by launching attacks more destructive than previous ones perpetrated by competing groups. This hypothesis is confirmed by the empirical analysis which shows that the number of victims of terrorist attacks increases compared to number of victims of previous attacks in the same country. An upward trend in terrorist brutality is the outcome of competition between groups. Results also show that Al Qaeda-style terrorism is associated with poverty and underprivileged socio-economic conditions.
AB - We interpret the emergence of Jihadist terrorism in the light of contest theory. Al Qaeda may be portrayed as a contest organizer, providing a ‘prize’ to the best terrorist group. Each group maximizes its probability of winning by launching attacks more destructive than previous ones perpetrated by competing groups. This hypothesis is confirmed by the empirical analysis which shows that the number of victims of terrorist attacks increases compared to number of victims of previous attacks in the same country. An upward trend in terrorist brutality is the outcome of competition between groups. Results also show that Al Qaeda-style terrorism is associated with poverty and underprivileged socio-economic conditions.
KW - Negative Binomial regression
KW - terrorism
KW - Negative Binomial regression
KW - terrorism
UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10807/43887
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.12.005
U2 - 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.12.005
DO - 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.12.005
M3 - Article
SN - 0161-8938
VL - 35
SP - 685
EP - 696
JO - Journal of Policy Modeling
JF - Journal of Policy Modeling
ER -