An empirical investigation of the effects of monetary policy shocks on the Italian economy

  • Massimiliano Marcellino
  • , Tommaso Tornese*
  • *Autore corrispondente per questo lavoro

Risultato della ricerca: Contributo in rivistaArticolo

Abstract

We assess empirically the effects of monetary policy shocks on the Italian economy through the lenses of a heteroskedastic SVAR model. The identifying information provided by the time variation in the volatility of the structural shocks is complemented with sign and narrative restrictions. The presence of heteroskedasticty is strongly supported by the data and sharpens significantly the uncertainty about IRFs. Our results show that monetary policy contractions reduce inflation and output growth, generating a significant increase in the Corporate Bond Spread. On the other hand, the response of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate and the Italy-Germany sovereign spread is not significantly affected.
Lingua originaleInglese
pagine (da-a)1-12
Numero di pagine12
RivistaEconomics Letters
Numero di pubblicazioneN/A
DOI
Stato di pubblicazionePubblicato - 2025

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Finanza
  • Economia ed Econometria

Keywords

  • Heteroskedasticity
  • Italy
  • Monetary policy
  • SVAR
  • Sign and narrative restrictions

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