Spillover of military regimes in sub-saharan Africa

Raul Caruso, Ilaria Petrarca, Roberto Ricciuti

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


We analyse institutional spillover in military regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa, from 1972 through 2007, by means of a Markov chain transition model. This method allows us to study in a unified framework both the occurrence and the persistence of military dictatorships. We find a robust spatial autocorrelation between military governments in the short-run, but this process is shortly lived, since we observe an overall trend that reduces the number of military regimes. We find some interesting asymmetries between transition and persistence results, in particular for GDP and external hostility.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)381-393
Number of pages13
JournalRivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali
Publication statusPublished - 2015


  • Africa
  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)2001 Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
  • Institutional spillover
  • Markov chain
  • Military dictatorship
  • Social Sciences (all)
  • Third wave


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