Non-myopic portfolio choice with unpredictable returns: The jump-to-default case

Anna Battauz, Alessandro Sbuelz*

*Corresponding author

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

If a risky asset is subject to a jump-to-default event, the investment horizon affects the optimal portfolio rule, even if the asset returns are unpredictable. The optimal rule solves a non-linear differential equation that, by not depending on the investor's pre-default value function, allows for its direct computation. Importantly for financial planners offering portfolio advice for the long term, tiny amounts of constant jump-to-default risk induce marked time variation in the optimal portfolios of long-run conservative investors. Our results are robust to the introduction of multiple non-defaultable risky assets.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)192-208
Number of pages17
JournalEuropean Financial Management
Volume24
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018

Keywords

  • Accounting
  • Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)2001 Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
  • dynamic asset allocation
  • irreversible regime change
  • jump-to-default risk
  • return predictability
  • time-varying hedging portfolio

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