Abstract
The market demand for the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) is rather small. This is puzzling, as we show that an agent, who derives utility from real wealth and dynamically invests into multiple asset classes over a 30-year horizon, incurs a certainty equivalent loss of 1.6% per annum from not investing in inflation-indexed bonds. However, if the investor suffers from money illusion, the perceived loss is only 0.5% per annum. Furthermore, the perceived loss is totally negligible for an unsophisticated money-illusioned investor ignoring the time variation of risk premia. Money illusion causes significant portfolio shifts from inflation-indexed toward nominal bonds, with little effects on equity allocations, contributing to the low market demand for TIPS.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 171-214 |
| Number of pages | 44 |
| Journal | JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT, AND BANKING |
| Volume | 55 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2023 |
Keywords
- TIPS
- money illusion
- portfolio choice
- term structure of interest rates
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