A Discrete Risk-Theory Approach to Manage Equity-Linked Policies in an Incomplete Market

Francesco Della Corte*, Francesca Marzorati

*Corresponding author

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We construct a model where, at each time instance, risky securities can only take a limited number of values and the equity-linked policy sold by the insurer to policyholders pays benefits linked to these securities. Since the number of states in the model exceeds the number of securities in the (incomplete) market, the martingale measure is not unique, posing a problem in pricing insurance instruments. In this framework, we consider how a super-replicating strategy violates the assumption of absence of arbitrage, yet simultaneously allows the insurance company to fully hedge against financial risk. Since the super-replicating strategy, when considered alone, would be too costly for any rational insured, through the definition of the safety loading, we demonstrate how the insurer can still hedge against financial risk, albeit at the expense of increasing its exposure to demographic risk. This approach does not aim to show how the pricing of the index-linked policy can actually be performed, but rather highlights how risk theory-based approaches (via the definition of the profit and loss random variable) enable the management of the trade-off between financial risk and demographic risk.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)158-174
Number of pages17
JournalJournal of Risk and Financial Management
Volume2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024

Keywords

  • CRR
  • equity-linked policies
  • incomplete markets
  • risk theory
  • safety loading

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A Discrete Risk-Theory Approach to Manage Equity-Linked Policies in an Incomplete Market'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this